Service Plays Wednesday 07/22/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[chase88]

JEFFERSON-SPORTS EARLY RELEASE

3-1 on TUES

MLB TOTALS NOW 36-17 (68%)

MLB
SAN FRANCISCO/ATLANTA UNDER 7.5

LISTED PITCHERS
LINCECUM-JURRGENS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Indians and Nationals Tuesday night.

Today's it's the Cubs. The surplus is 1,060 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

July 22, 2009

Hondo remained stuck on the down escalator last night, coming up minuscule with the Giants to fall 260 stankys into the cavern.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will strike up the band with the one and only Jimmy Shields and Tiny Tim Lincecum -- 10 units apiece on the Rays and Giants.

Also, he'll put a unit on Belle Allure in the eighth at Belmont. She's the best bet of Hondo's thoroughbred advisor, Anthony Affrunti, aka the Post's Puny Pony Picker, who'll hop (or climb) onto the scale and "Weigh in Against Autism" today at 2 p.m. at Gallagher's. AA will be soliciting donations for Autism Speaks for each pound he loses by Aug. 17. Feel free to give a lot -- he has proven over the years he's not so good at dieting.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

WEDNESDAY, JULY 22

NATIONAL LEAGUE

St. Louis (51-45) at Houston (48-46)

A pair of aces take the mound at Minute Maid Park, with the Cardinals’ Chris Carpenter (8-3, 2.26 ERA) matching up against Roy Oswalt (6-4, 3.65), who will try to guide the red-hot Astros to a three-game sweep of this series between division rivals.

Houston followed up Monday’s 3-2 victory with last night’s 11-6 rout of the Redbirds for its eighth win in the last 11 games. The Astros have surged into second place – two games behind St. Louis – by playing their best baseball of the season over the past month, winning 16 of their last 24 overall, including 10 of 13 at home. Cecil Cooper’s squad is on additional upticks of 6-2 against right-handed starters, 6-1 in N.L. Central contests, 5-2 as a home underdog and 11-3 in the third game of a series.

St. Louis continues to lead the division despite playing sub-.500 baseball over the last four weeks (11-13 overall, 6-8 on the road). On the bright side, the Redbirds are on surges of 9-4 in on Wednesday, 7-2 versus teams with a winning record, 9-2 as a favorite and 5-1 as a road chalk.

The home team has won eight straight meetings in this rivalry, including all five this season. During this eight-game stretch of success for the home squad, St. Louis has dropped five straight at Minute Maid Park.

Carpenter is 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA in his last three starts, including Saturday’s 6-1 home win over the Diamondbacks in which the veteran right-hander scattered seven hits over eight scoreless innings. Carpenter has given up three earned runs or fewer in all but one of his 14 starts this season, including yielding one or no runs eight times. He’s 4-2 with a 2.50 ERA in nine road starts, the last eight being quality outings.

With Carpenter on the hill, St. Louis is on runs of 82-34 overall, 40-16 against divisional foes, 27-13 as a road favorite, 12-5 on Wednesday, 16-5 in the third game of a series, 9-3 when he faces the Astros and 6-2 when he pitches in Houston. For his career, Carpenter is 5-3 with a 2.93 ERA in 11 starts versus the Astros, though he last faced them in September 2006.

Oswalt has been dominating over the past month, going 3-0 with a 1.66 ERA in his last five starts, including Saturday’s complete-game 8-1 rout of the Dodgers. In that contest, the right-hander gave up four hits and no walks while striking out five as he went the distance for the second time in his last four outings. Oswalt has pitched at least six innings in 13 straight games and 18 of his 20 starts this year. However, he’s just 2-2 with a 3.99 ERA in nine homes efforts in 2009.

Behind their ace, the Astros are on surges of 4-0 overall, 59-23 at home and 30-11 on Wednesday, but they have lost four straight games with Oswalt taking on a divisional opponent. They’re also 0-4 in his last four against St. Louis, against whom the 31-year-old is 9-7 with a 3.11 ERA in 26 career appearances (25 starts). That includes an 11-2 loss in St. Louis back on April 11, with Oswalt given up six runs in six innings.

The “over” is 15-7-1 in Carpenter’s last 23 road starts, 8-3 in his last 11 on Wednesday, 5-2 in his last seven starts against the Astros and 6-2 in his last eight outings at Minute Maid Park. With Oswalt pitching, the “under” is on runs of 25-9 on Wednesday, 12-5-1 against the N.L. Central and 4-1 versus St. Louis.

The Cardinals are on “under” streaks of 5-1 overall, 6-3 on the road, 6-3 against the N.L. Central, 8-3-1 on Wednesday and 5-0 against right-handed starters. Similarly, Houston carries “under” trends of 5-2 overall, 11-5-2 at home, 5-0 on Wednesday and 43-20-3 in divisional contests. Finally, the under is 4-2 in the last six clashes in this rivalry and 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in Houston.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (55-38) at Texas (51-41)

The suddenly surging Rangers go for a rare three-game sweep of the struggling Red Sox as Vicente Padilla (7-5, 4.67) takes the mound for the home team opposite Clay Buchholz (1-0, 1.59) at Rangers Ballpark.

Texas got an outstanding start from rookie Tommy Hunter and beat the Red Sox and ace Josh Beckett 4-2 on Tuesday, the team’s third straight win overall and third straight victory over Boston. The Rangers are still just 4-5 in their last nine outings, but otherwise they’re on positive runs of 8-2 at home, 6-0 against the A.L. East and 5-0 on Wednesday.

Boston had won five of six going into the All-Star break and then returned to action with a victory at Toronto on Friday, but it has now dropped four in a row for the first time all season. Tonight, Terry Francona’s club will look to avoid getting swept in a series for the first time in 2009. Despite the recent rut, the Sox are still on runs of 13-8 on the road, 23-9 on Wednesday and 4-1 in the third game of a series.

Texas entered this year in a 3-15 slump against the Red Sox (1-6 at home), but it is 4-1 against the Red Sox this season.

Buchholz is taking the place of regularly scheduled starter Tim Wakefield tonight. In his first big-league start of the season on Friday, the young right-hander guided Boston to a 4-1 win over Toronto, scattering a run on four hits and three walks over 5 2/3 innings. Last year, Boston went 3-12 in games Buchholz started, including 0-4 in his last four.

Despite the win in Toronto, Buchholz is just 2-8 with a 7.09 ERA in 13 games (12 starts) on the road in his career. However, in his lone start against the Rangers, he pitched six scoreless innings, allowing five hits and two walks in an 8-3 home win last April.

Padilla got knocked around in his first post-All-Star-break start Saturday, giving up all five runs in seven innings of a 5-3 home loss to the Twins. It was the second straight time that Padilla gave up five runs in a home start, and he’s now 3-4 with a hefty 6.00 ERA on his own turf.

Padilla beat the Red Sox 6-3 at Fenway Park on June 7, allowing three runs (two earned) in seven innings, making the right-hander 2-3 with a 4.84 ERA in seven lifetime games (six starts) against Boston. Behind Padilla, Texas is on runs of 21-7 when he gets four days of rest and 6-0 on Wednesday.

The Rangers have stayed under the total in Padilla’s last seven starts overall and his last six starts at home. Additionally, Texas is on incredible “under” stretches of 41-15-1 overall, 23-5-1 at home, 10-1 against the A.L. East, 5-1 on Wednesday and 28-11-1 against right-handed starters. Meanwhile, Boston also is on several lengthy “under” streaks, including 38-17-4 overall, 9-2 on the road (5-0 last five), 12-2-1 against the A.L. West (5-0 last five), 10-4-1 against clubs with a winning record and 23-10-4 versus right-handed starters.

Lastly, the past six Texas-Boston clashes – including all five this year – have stayed under the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER

 

[cpprcppr]

Mr. Rainbow - - - July 20 - July 26
July 20: 8* NYY (-170) - Winner
6* Phillies (-120) - Winner
3* Twins / A's Over 8 (-110) - Winner

Looks like he gave himself a Win for the twins/A's Over

 

[td0020]

Valentino 30 dimer today....

I've got Chris Jordan coming and will post it when its available.

Fazzini and Benton also have big plays...

Cork, can you post Delaney once its available?

Thx

Guys its been awhile since i picked up a play....ill get valentino now.

Bob Valentino

30 Dime MLB Mismatch of the Month ...
30 DIME -- FLORIDA MARLINS (Nolasco) over San Diego Padres (Geer)



NOTE: Nolasco and Geer must start this game or this is no "action" ... As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more on a favorite than you have to or take back less than you can on an underdog!

 

[Yanks]

RatedPicks

MLB:

MLB 07/22 Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates pick: over pts: Over 9 3 units
MLB 07/22 Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies pick: Philadelphia Phillies pts: +105 3 units
MLB 07/22 NY Mets at Washington Nationals pick: NY Mets pts: +105 2 units
MLB 07/22 Florida Marlins at San Diego Padres pick: Florida Marlins pts: -1.5 (+120) 3 units
MLB 07/22 Florida Marlins at San Diego Padres pick: Florida Marlins pts: -150 3 units
MLB 07/22 LA Angels at Kansas City Royals pick: LA Angels pts: -1.5 (+135) 3 units
MLB 07/22 LA Angels at Kansas City Royals pick: *BP* LA Angels pts: -135 5 units

 

[mp5070]

Rated Picks

Bonus Play(s) for 7/22

Ariz D'Backs +170
Marlins/Padres OVER 7.5

 

[Yanks]

PowerPlayWins

St. Louis Cardinals -115

 

[Yanks]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

44-23 run

WED Florida

 

[Yanks]

Cappers Access

Brewers
Red Sox

 

[Yanks]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Cleveland at Toronto

The Blue Jays look to bounce back from yesterday's 2-1 loss and build on their 6-1 record in Ricky Romero's last 7 starts following a loss in the previous game. Toronto is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 22

Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Suppan) 14.202; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.266
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Under
Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 15.617; Philadelphia (Moyer) 17.174
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-110); Under
Game 905-906: Arizona at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Garland) 15.435; Colorado (Jimenez) 16.907
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-175); Over
Game 907-908: NY Mets at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 13.764; Washington (Stammen) 14.021
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Under
Game 909-910: San Francisco at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.862; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 14.767
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105); Under
Game 911-912: St. Louis at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 15.050; Houston (Oswalt) 16.185
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); Under
Game 913-914: Florida at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.137; San Diego (Geer) 14.070
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-140); Over
Game 915-916: Cincinnati at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.372; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.201
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+180); Under
Game 917-918: Baltimore at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Berken) 15.408; NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.986
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-260); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-260); Under
Game 919-920: Minnesota at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Perkins) 16.048; Oakland (Cahill) 15.747
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Under
Game 921-922: Cleveland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Pavano) 14.551; Toronto (Romero) 15.394
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140); Over
Game 923-924: Seattle at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 16.535; Detroit (Galarraga) 15.381
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-130); Over
Game 925-926: Boston at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 15.926; Texas (Padilla) 14.883
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Over
Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.764; White Sox (Torres) 14.401
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Under
Game 929-930: LA Angels at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Saunders) 15.079; Kansas City (Bannister) 15.647
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Over




WNBA Basketball Picks

Atlanta at Detroit

The Dream look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 road games. Atlanta is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 22

Game 651-652: Atlanta at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 110.478; Detroit 109.245
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 5 1/2; 156
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5 1/2); Under
Game 653-654: New York at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: New York 106.366; Chicago 110.856
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 139
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Under
Game 655-656: Sacramento at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 105.536; Connecticut 115.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 10; 147 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 8 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-8 1/2); Over
Game 657-658: Minnesota at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 107.144; Phoenix 116.194
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 9; 172
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 179
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4); Under
Game 659-660: Los Angeles at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 109.797; Seattle 110.487
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 1; 130
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[Yanks]

SCOTT FERRALL'S FREE PICKS:

MLB FREE PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Cleveland (Pavano)

TORONTO (ROMERO) -145 (1)



SEATTLE (HERNANDEZ) -130 (2)

Detroit (Galarraga)



ST. LOUIS (CARPENTER) -110 (3)

Houston (Oswalt)

 

[Yanks]

The Sports Investing Professional - Wednesday


Todays Play(s) -There is no worthy MLB but I'm going
back to the world of WTA Womens Tennis to redeem myself..lol

Love this matchup with Lucie Safarova...she's very solid and
a real nice value in this match at only -170!


WTA -Lucie Safarova -170....850.00/ 500.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional

Record (17-8) + $2.974

 

[Yanks]

Fantasy sports gametime

MLB Baseball

100* Play Florida (-145) over San Diego (TOP MLB PLAY)

San Diego has lost 15 of the last 18 games and they have also lost 31 of the last 39 games when playing on a Wednesday. Josh Geer has lost 12 of the last 18 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is also 0-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 7.80. Florida has won 24 of the last 39 games as a favorite of -110 or higher and Ricky Nolasco has won 4 of the last 5 games as a favorite of -125 to -175.




100* Play Toronto (-135) over Cleveland (TOP MLB PLAY)

Cleveland has lost 21 of the last 28 games and they have also lost 15 of the last 21 games as an underdog of +125 to +175. Cleveland has lost 44 of the last 71 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and they have also lost 17 of the last 26 games after batting .240 or worse over the last 20 games. Carl Pavano has an ERA of 5.13 in all starts this season and he also has an ERA of 5.45 vs. Toronto over his career.




50* Play Pittsburgh (-110) over Milwaukee (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Milwaukee has lost 20 of the last 31 day games and they have also lost 11 of the last 17 games when playing in the month of July. Paul Maholm has won 13 of the last 15 home games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and he has also won 9 of the last 11 home games when the line posted is between -100 to -150.




50* Play Seattle (-125) over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Seattle has won 5 of the last 7 games and they have also won 11 of the last 13 road games when the line posted is between -110 to -150. Felix Hernandez has won 9 of the last 10 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has also won 11 of the last 13 games when pitching on a Wednesday. Felix Hernandez is 4-2 vs. Detroit over his career with an ERA of 3.22 and he is also 6-1 in road games this season with an ERA of 1.97.


WNBA Hoops


50* Play Atlanta (+5.5) over Detroit (TOP WNBA PLAY)

Atlanta has covered the spread in 6 consecutive games and they have also covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 games when playing their 2nd game in 5 days. Detroit has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread vs. division opponents and they have also lost 11 of the last 14 home games against the spread when playing in the month of July.

 

[Yanks]

Indian Cowboy


4 Unit Play. Take the Boston Redsox -120 over the Texas Rangers (Wed @ 8:05pm est). Clay takes the mound today and he gave up just 1 run in nearly 6 innings worth of work on the road in Toronto. The Redsox went on to win the contest 4-1. Given the series with the Rangers, the Yankees took over first place in the division. I suspect the Redsox will be fired up and looking to bounce-back today with Clay. Buchholz understands that with Wakefield out for some time, he needs to step up. Certainly, he has done that over his last 17 starts as he is 7-3 with a 2.36era in his last 17 games. Clay is comfortable pitching against the Rangers it seems as last year he threw six scoreless innings against them. As the Redsox come off a loss and with Clay pitching well, it sets up for a decent wager on them. The Rangers send Padilla to the mound who was brilliant in his last performance against the Sox in Fenway. Having said that, the Redsox are very good at having success against a pitcher the next time around in the same year. Padilla gave up just 4 hits and 2 run in 7 innings of work in Fenway in his last start against Boston this year. He comes off a shaky start against Minnesota at home, but overall, he has given up 29 hits over his last 18 innings (spanning 3 starts). The Redsox are 12-5 after scoring 2 or less runs in their previous game as well as 11-5 coming off a loss.

 

[Henryjames]

igz1 sports

Wednesday Card
Tuesday Recap: 4-1 MLB Another 5* winner 2-0 with 5*'s

MLB
4* Over 8 +100 Florida (Nolasco) vs Florida (Geer)
3* San Francisco +100 (Lincecum)
3* Arizona +185 (Garland)

 

[Yanks]

SafestWagers

Late Double: NOTE Race correction:
Race 8) 6/7 (If a scratch, add # 2)
Race 9) 8/9/10 (If a scratch, condense)

BELMONT: Wednesday, July 22nd, 2009

Race 8) 1 1/4 Miles Donor Stake Selections: 6/7

# 6 Bubbly Jane*
Maragh had the option of 2 other nice ones and made
this his choice. She beat the better ones in Brazil and has been able
to win on the front, from behind and on heavy and firm turf surfaces.

Safer Bet:
a) # 6 to Win, Place or Show

Exotics:
b) Exacta: 6 with 2/7
c) Trifecta: 6/7 with 6/7 with 1/2/3/4/5
d) Super: 2/6/7 with 2/6/7 with 2/6/7 with 1/3/4/5 ($1 Super will cost $ 30)

Race 9) 6.5 Furlongs Md 16000 Selection: 10

# 10 Unbridled Cardinal*
Connections have finally given up on this $ 210k purchase and have dropped
him to the lowest level. He dueled in last against better and finally gave way.
In prior he held 2nd against tougher company and a runaway winner. His time
in start before that beats these.

Safer Bet:
a) # 10 to Win, Place or Show

Exotics:
b) Exacta: 10 with 2/4/8/9
c) Tri Key: 10 with 2/4/8/9
d) Super Key: 10 wtih 2/4/8/9 ($1 Super will cost $ 24)

 

[SqueezetheJuice]

Mr. Rainbow - - - July 20 - July 26
July 20: 8* NYY (-170) - Winner
6* Phillies (-120) - Winner
3* Twins / A's Over 8 (-110) - Winner

Looks like he gave himself a Win for the twins/A's Over

Bob Valentino

30 Dime MLB Mismatch of the Month ...
30 DIME -- FLORIDA MARLINS (Nolasco) over San Diego Padres (Geer)



NOTE: Nolasco and Geer must start this game or this is no "action" ... As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more on a favorite than you have to or take back less than you can on an underdog!